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Saving MySpace, for All the Wrong Reasons...

Wednesday, July 06, 2011
by  presnikoff

Why did you get into the music industry, anyway? Because it's sexy! It's sexy to be an artist on stage, sexy to manage that artist, sexy to start a music-related tech company...     

And there's nothing wrong with that.  It's called doing what you love, and following your passions and abilities.  But passions can be dangerous, and when it comes to investments and business models, a downright blindfold. 

All of which makes me wonder: is that the reason why Specific Media not only purchased MySpace, but is now bringing Justin Timberlake on board to spearhead the comeback?  I'm starting to think this might be a familiar re-run, a crash-and-burn we've witnessed countless times before. 

As a straight advertising deal, this theoretically makes sense. The reason is simple: there's lots of residual inventory that can be exploited.  It drops substantially every year, and over that period, the net earnings are hopefully positive - especially in the hands of an internet advertising specialist like Specific Media.  It's dry, calculated, low-CPM stuff, with lots of technical knob-twiddling and targeting.  

And it's boring, at least at a cocktail party.

The rest is entirely puzzling, except when placed in the context of similarly-misguided music and entertainment deals.  If you want to be in aluminum siding or accounting, have fun, but don't expect to wow anyone with anything except the money.  If you want to sit next to Justin Timberlake, harness the excitement of a 'back-from-the-brink' comeback attempt and bask in lots of media attention, purchase MySpace.

And of course, we all love underdogs, especially when they involve music.  But can you wrap your head around such a complicated, imploding mess like MySpace, one whose technical problems are just as severe as its image and popularity issues?  A losing football team can get a new coach and quarterback, they don't have to repair the entire crumbling stadium and surrounding community! 

You can easily say that MySpace is a victim of its environment; a finnicky internet population that simply craves something fresh.  Facebook fit the void, and the rest was history.  But that ignores all of the Hollywood-style ridiculousness that shadowed MySpace's demise.  Cofounder Chris DeWolfe was gallivanting with Paris Hilton in the Hamptons instead of dealing with server allocations and competitive challenges; Tom was the one lying about his age while playing the hip frontman.  The founders weren't even updating their profiles by the end.

So where does this go? It's an extremely difficult comeback, and most likely, one of the final chapters.  Sure, there's a substantial brand name involved, but there's also complicated baggage associated with that name - not to mention incredible structural site issues, ever-increasing social networking competition, and a decimated and demoralized workforce.  

All of which sounds like a $3.5 million property in less than 3 years... and there's nothing sexy about that.

/pr.

 

 



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